Gerd Gigerenzer

The Simple Problem Einstein Couldn’t Solve … At First

Albert Einstein and Max Wertheimer were close friends. Both found themselves in exile in the United States after fleeing the Nazis in the early 1930s, Einstein at Princeton and Wertheimer in New York. …

Miracles Happen — The Simple Heuristic That Saved 150 Lives

“In an uncertain world, statistical thinking and risk communication alone are not sufficient. Good rules of thumb are essential for good decisions.” *** Three minutes after taking off from …

Certainty Is an Illusion

We all try to avoid uncertainty, even if it means being wrong. We take comfort in certainty, and we demand it of others, even when we know it’s impossible. Gerd Gigerenzer argues in Risk Savvy: …