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Duncan Watts

The Future Is Not Like The Past

From Everything Is Obvious: How Common Sense Fails Us: The ubiquity of complex systems in the social world is important because it severely restricts the kinds of predictions we can make. In simple …

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Whoever tells the best story wins

From Everything Is Obvious: How Common Sense Fails Us: Historical explanations, in other words, are neither causal explanations nor even really descriptions—at least not in the sense that we imagine …

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Is Everything Obvious Once You Know The Answer?

We often think we can rely on common sense. But in a complex world, common sense is not always sufficient. *** Duncan Watts new book Everything is Obvious: Once You Know The Answer explores the limit …

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