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Antifragile

Stop Preparing For The Last Disaster

When something goes wrong, we often strive to be better prepared if the same thing happens again. But the same disasters tend not to happen twice in a row. A more effective approach is simply to …

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Mental Models For a Pandemic

Mental models help us understand the world better, something which is especially valuable during times of confusion, like a pandemic. Here’s how to apply mental models to gain a more accurate picture …

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Standing on the Shoulders of Giants

Innovation doesn’t occur in a vacuum. Doers and thinkers from Shakespeare to Jobs, liberally “stole” inspiration from the doers and thinkers who came before. Here’s how to do it right. *** “If I have …

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The Green Lumber Fallacy: The Difference between Talking and Doing

“All that glitters is not gold,” the saying goes. The aesthetics of things often fool us. People we call ignorant might not be ignorant. People we call smart might not be smart. The Green …

Continue readingThe Green Lumber Fallacy: The Difference between Talking and Doing

Intervention Bias: When to Step in and When To Leave Things Alone

When we want to improve a situation, our first instinct is often to change something. Try something new. Make adjustments. Anything other than what we’re already doing. But this approach is frequently …

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